Policy Update – August 2025

 United Kingdom

  • Critical Minerals Strategy: The government is finalising its updated strategy, expected to expand on incentives for domestic refining, highlight recycling, and set clearer targets for battery supply chain resilience.
  • Energy Cost Relief: The BritishIndustry Supercharger Scheme is being expanded, aiming at cutting power pricesfor energy-intensive industries. This could materially lower refining OPEX.
  • Planning & Permitting: Thegovernment continues to signal support for “fast-tracking” strategic projects.

 

European Union

  • Battery RegulationImplementation: the EU’s recycled content requirements are now in force,mandating rising levels of lithium, cobalt, and nickel in EV batteries by 2031.
  • Refining Gap: Despite many announcements, only two lithium refineries are currently operating in Europe. SC Insights wants Europe will still be a net importer of lithium chemicals and cathode materials by 2027-29.
  • Strategic Projects: EU policymakers have released which lithium conversion projects qualify as “strategic” under the Net Zero Industry Act.

 

China:

  • Mine Licensing Risk: CATL’s Jiangxi mine shutdown in August, caused by license expiry, immediately spiked global prices before reopening expectations calmed markets. This highlights theregulatory risk premium attached to Chinese supply.
  • Export Controls: Authoritiesare still reviewing export approvals for certain battery technologies, thoughlithium chemicals remain largely unaffected.
  • Strategic Direction: China continues to dominate refining capacity, with > 50% global share, but policyemphasis is shifting to environmental compliance and consolidation of smaller,higher-cost converters.

 

Takeaways:

  • UK is moving toward cost reliefand strategic recognition for domestic refining.
  • Europe has ambitious regulationbut lacks sufficient financed capacity.
  • China continues to dominaterefining but faces regulatory risks that create global volatility.
  • TVL represents one of the mostcredible solutions to reduce exposure to China, meet EU compliance, and anchor UK industrial strategy.
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It’s the foundation of Europe’s clean energy future.

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